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ALEMU, BESUFEKAD
CARRANZA, LUIS
PEREZ, CHRISTIAN
Understanding Differences in Children's Test Scores Across Socioeconomic Status and Race
Working Paper, AEA Summer Training Program 2009, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, August 2009
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79
ID Number: 6626
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

In order to focus on how SES affects the gap in test scores over time, we must give a brief overview of the potential reasons for the gap in test scores in general. It could be possible that children with genetically superior ability perform relatively better on ability tests than those with less ability. Psychologists before the 1970s argued that genetic differences are not primarily responsible for test score performance since age scores of children vary with their respective ages (Kleinberg 1963). Many arguments have been made that it is school quality that affects children's test scores (Loehlin, Lindzey, and Spuhler 1975). Phillips et. al (1998), focusing on black children, argues that it is in fact home environment that contributes to lower tests scores, causing those with poor home environments to start school at a disadvantage with regards to tests scores. Fryer and Levitt provide evidence against this by finding that there is no gap at entry between black and white children, implying that it is in fact something about the school environment that induces such gaps. The consensus within the economic and psychologist literature appears to be aligned more with the view of Phillips than of Fryer and Levitt. We aim to provide evidence for or against Fryer and Levitt's findings by trying to replicate their results using a different data set. Our initial methodology will bear high resemblance to their original paper. We use pooled cross-sections to construct trends in tests scores among various age groups. But our work extends the research done by Fryer and Levitt by tracking the gap in scores at five different instances in time, as opposed to two instances. We also extend on their research by studying transitory income shocks as they relate to test scores via first differences models. Unfortunately, first differences models remove a permanent notion of SES precisely because SES is defined as time-invariant. We instead look at how SES and race affect cha nges in test scores and let the effect of income shocks differ by SES and race by including interaction terms. In summary, we use pooled cross-sections to analyze permanent income measures similar to the analysis in Fryer and Levitt and first difference models to analyze transitory income shocks as they relate to changes in test scores.

ANDERSON, DEBORAH J.
BINDER, MELISSA
KRAUSE, KATE
Motherhood Wage Penalty: Which Mothers Pay It and Why?
Presented: Atlanta, GA, American Economic Association Annual Meeting, January 2002
Cohort(s): Young Women
ID Number: 3969
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Studies of motherhood wage penalty typically focus on the "pure" effect of children, holding all else equal. But as all parents know, the arrival of a child means that nothing stays the same. One change especially salient to labor economists is that many mothers exit the work force. Absences from the labor market are likely to reduce wages because general and firm-specific skills depreciate and workers lose rents associated with good job matches. Low-skilled workers may be less vulnerable to such earnings erosion, since they have less human capital and their wages reflect less rent. If so, these workers may escape a motherhood wage penalty. Conversely, we would expect highly skilled women to experience the largest penalties for exiting the labor force to care for their children.

ANDERSON, PATRICIA M.
BUTCHER, KRISTIN F.
Reading, Writing, and Raisinets: Are School Finances Contributing to Children’s Obesity?
Presented: Philadelphia, PA, American Economic Association Annual Meeting, January 2005. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2005/0107_0800_0102.pdf
Cohort(s): NLSY97
ID Number: 5038
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

The proportion of adolescents in the United States who are obese has nearly tripled over the last two decades. At the same time, schools, often citing financial pressures, have given students greater access to "junk" foods and soda pop, using proceeds from these sales to fund school programs. We examine whether schools under financial pressure are more likely to adopt potentially unhealthful food policies. Next, we examine whether students' Body Mass Index (BMI) is higher in counties where a greater proportion of schools are predicted to allow these food policies. Because the financial pressure variables that predict school food policies are unlikely to affect BMI directly, this two step estimation strategy addresses the potential endogeneity of school food policies. We find that a 10 percentage point increase in the proportion of schools in a county that allow students access to junk food leads to about a one percent increase in students' BMI, on average. However, this average effect is entirely driven by adolescents who have an overweight parent, for whom the effect of such food policies is much larger (2.2%). This suggests that those adolescents who have a genetic or family susceptibility to obesity are most affected by the school food environment. A rough calculation suggests that the increase in availability of junk foods in schools can account for about one-fifth of the increase in average BMI among adolescents over the last decade.

ANDRISANI, PAUL J.
Discrimination, Segmentation, and Upward Mobility: A Longitudinal Approach to the Dual Labor Market Theory
Presented: Atlantic City, NJ, Joint Meeting of the American Economic Association and the Econometric Society, 1976
Cohort(s): Young Men
ID Number: 50
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

The empirical results presented in this study make it rather difficult to accept an extreme hypothesis of labor market segmentation. The secondary sector hardly appears to be an economic prison from which there is no escape. In addition, contrary to the principal tenets of the dual labor market theory, investments in the skills and abilities of black youth appear to have payoffs in terms of entry into better jobs and in terms of higher earnings as well, even when employed in what is defined herein as the secondary market sector. Nonetheless, the evidence strongly suggests that invidious racial discrimination denies numerous youth the socioeconomic fruits warranted by their human assets.

ARGYS, LAURA M.
PETERS, H. ELIZABETH
Interactions between Unmarried Fathers and Their Children: The Role of Paternity Establishment and Child-Support Policies
Presented: New Orleans LA, American Economic Association Meeting, January 2001
Cohort(s): NLSY97
ID Number: 3887
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Nonmarital childbearing has increased substantially over the last few decades, comprising almost one-third of all births in the United States in 1995 (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 1997). Poverty rates for these children are high, and many rely on public assistance. Reducing nonmarital childbearing and increasing responsibility of absent fathers were important goals of the 1996 welfare-reform legislation and earlier state and federal child-support legislation. Although there is some evidence that paternity-establishment efforts increase the likelihood of child-support awards (Cynthia Miller and Irwin Garfinkel, 1999; Argys et al., 2001), until recently microdata to assess the determinants and consequences of paternity were not available. We use the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 cohort (NLSY97) to explore the determinants of paternity and the relationship between paternity and father involvement, such as child-support awards and contact between fathers and children. Our data show that paternity is associated with increases in all types of involvement. However, if the correlation is due solely to unobserved heterogeneity, then paternity policies would not have a causal effect on involvement. In this paper we model the paternity and father-involvement decisions jointly. Our results suggest that welfare, child-support, and paternity policies do alter the probability of establishing paternity, and that exogenous increases in paternity can affect father-child interactions.

AUGHINBAUGH, ALISON AILEEN
Signals of Child Achievement as Determinants of Child Support
Presented: New Orleans, LA, American Economic Association Meeting, January 2001
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 3931
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

For children from non-intact households, the receipt of an additional dollar of child support has been found to have benefits that are several times larger than those of mother's earnings or family income (John W. Graham et al., 1994; Virginia W. Knox, 1996; Laura M. Argys et al., 1998). The obvious explanation is that custodians who receive child support or noncustodians who pay child support differ from those who do not in unobserved ways. In this case, the child-support variable will pick up the effects of omitted variables with which it is correlated. Graham et al. (1994) and Knox (1996) attempt to correct for unobserved heterogeneity using instrumental variables. Their results show that the coefficient estimate on child-support income is much larger than that on family income. However, because of the imprecision of the estimates, one cannot conclude that child support has a benefit to children that is significantly larger than that of other income. This paper examines an alternative reason for the finding that child support has a larger impact on children than other dollars: child-support transfers and investments in children are strategically linked. A current payment of child support by a noncustodial parent (NCP) may depend on the past investments in the child by the custodial parent (CP). Because a NCP is unlikely to have complete information about investments in his child, he may use information about the child's achievement as a signal of how well the CP cares for the child. This would provide the CP with an incentive to invest more in the child than she would otherwise. This hypothesis is tested by estimating the effect of child achievement on the probability that a custodial parent receives child support and on the amount of child support received using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 Mother-Child Supplement. No previous estimation of child support has included measures of child achievement.

BARROW, LISA
ROUSE, CECILIA ELENA
Do Returns to Schooling Differ by Race and Ethnicity?
Presented: Philadelphia, PA, Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 7-9, 2005. Also:
Cohort(s): NLSY79
ID Number: 5143
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Using data from the U.S. Decennial Census and the National Longitudinal Surveys, we find little evidence of differences in the return to schooling across racial and ethnic groups, even with attempts to control for ability and measurement error biases. While our point estimates are relatively similar across racial and ethnic groups, our conclusion is driven in part by relatively large standard errors. That said, we find no evidence that returns to schooling are lower for African Americans or Hispanics than for non-minorities. As a result, policies that increase education among the low-skilled have a good possibility of increasing economic well-being and reducing inequality. More generally, our analysis suggests further research is needed to better understand the nature of measurement error and ability bias across subgroups in order to fully understand potential heterogeneity in the return to schooling across the population.

BERNAL, RAQUEL
KEANE, MICHAEL P.
Quasi-Structural Estimation of a Model of Child Care Choices
Presented: Chicago IL, American Economic Association Annual Meetings, January 2007. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0107_1300_0504.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 5577
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

This paper evaluates the effects of maternal vs. alternative care providers’ time inputs on children's cognitive development using the sample of single mothers in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. To deal with the selection problem created by unobserved heterogeneity of mothers and children, we develop a model of mother's employment and child-care decisions. Guided by this model, we obtain approximate decisions rules for employment and child care use, and estimate these jointly with the child's cognitive ability production function – an approach we refer to as "quasi-structural." This joint estimation implements a selection correction. To help identify our selection model, we take advantage of the substantial and plausibly exogenous variation in employment and child-care choices of single mothers generated by the variation in welfare rules across states and over time – especially, the large changes created by the 1996 welfare reform legislation and earlier State waivers. Welfare rules provide natural exclusion restrictions, as it is plausible they enter decision rules for employment and day care use, while not entering the child cognitive ability production function directly. Our results imply that if a mother works full-time, while placing a child in day care, for one full year, it reduces the child’s cognitive ability test score by roughly 2.7% on average, which is 0.14 standard deviations of the score distribution. However, we find evidence of substantial observed and unobserved heterogeneity in the day care effect. Negative effects of day care on test scores are larger for better-educated mothers and for children with larger skill endowments.

CHOU, SHIN-YI
RASHAD, INAS
GROSSMAN, MICHAEL
Fast-Food Restaurant Advertising on Television and Its Influence on Childhood Obesity
Presented: Chicago IL, American Economic Association Annual Meetings, January 2007. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0106_1015_2004.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY97
ID Number: 5586
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Childhood obesity around the world, and particularly in the United States, is an escalating problem that is especially detrimental as its effects carry on into adulthood. In this paper we employ the 1979 Child-Young Adult National Longitudinal Survey of Youth and the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to estimate the effects of fast-food restaurant advertising on children and adolescents being overweight. The advertising measure used is the number of hours of spot television fast-food restaurant advertising messages seen per week. Our results indicate that a ban on these advertisements would reduce the number of overweight children ages 3-11 in a fixed population by 18 percent and would reduce the number of overweight adolescents ages 12-18 by 14 percent. The elimination of the tax deductibility of this type of advertising would produce smaller declines of between 5 and 7 percent in these outcomes but would impose lower costs on children and adults who consume fast food in moderation because positive information about restaurants that supply this type of food would not be banned completely from television.

CUNHA, FLAVIO
HECKMAN, JAMES J.
Evolution of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills Over the Life Cycle of the Child
Presented: Chicago IL, American Economic Association Meetings, January 2007. Also: http://jenni.uchicago.edu/papers/Dugger/evo-cognon_ho_2007-01-03a_mms.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79
ID Number: 5576
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

This paper uses simple economic models of skill formation to organize a large body of evidence on the development of skills in children in economics, psychology, education and neuroscience.

Summary:

  • Cognitive and noncognitive skills evolve over the life cycle of the child. The correlation across these skills increases with age.
  • Noncognitive skills foster the accumulation of cognitive skills.
  • Family environments and investments causally affect both cognitive and noncognitive skills.
  • Investments are more effective for cognitive skills in the early years.
  • They are more effective in the later years for noncognitive skills.
  • Strong evidence of self-productivity and cross self-productivity.


CURRIE, JANET
STABILE, MARK
Mental Health in Childhood and Human Capital
Presented: Chicago, IL, American Economic Association Annual Meetings, January 3-5, 2007. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0107_1015_1701.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 5572
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Although mental disorders are common among children, we know little about their long term effects on child outcomes. This paper examines U.S. and Canadian children with symptoms of Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), depression, conduct disorders, and other behavioral problems. Our work offers a number of innovations. First we use large nationally representative samples of children from both countries. Second, we focus on "screeners" that were administered to all children in our sample, rather than on diagnosed cases. Third, we address omitted variables bias by estimating sibling-fixed effects models. Fourth, we examine a range of outcomes. Fifth, we ask how the effects of mental health conditions are mediated by family income and maternal education. We find that mental health conditions have large negative effects on future test scores and schooling attainment, regardless of family income and maternal education.

LERMAN, ROBERT I.
Employment Opportunities of Young Men and Family Formation
Proceedings, American Economic Association (May 1989): 62-66
Cohort(s): NLSY79
ID Number: 1335
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

This paper examines the issue of male joblessness and its relationship to family formation, particularly the recent growth of black female-headed families. Using data from the NLSY, the author tested the effects of local labor market unemployment rates and young men's previous job experience on the likelihood that they would remain childless, become absent fathers, or become fathers living with their children. It was found that neither the measure of local labor market conditions nor prior joblessness of the young men studied affected fatherhood outcomes.

LILLARD, DEAN R.
SIMON, KOSALI ILAYPERUMA
UEYAMA, MAKI
Effect of Maternal Education on Child Health
Presented: Chicago, IL, American Economic Association Annual Meetings, January 5-7, 2007. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0105_1015_1804.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 5561
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

We use an IV approach to examine the causal effect of mother’s high school education on child health using the 1979-2002 waves of the NLSY79 and the 1990-2002 waves of the NLSY79CY. We instrument education with a rich set of education policy variables. We find that mothers who complete high school are more likely to report their child was ill enough to need a doctor, that their child was ill more times, and that their child was more likely to have fractured or dislocated a bone in the past 12 months that required medical attention or treatment. Across samples of mothers who dropped out of high school and who completed high school, we find no difference in the date of their children’s last routine health checkup, percentiles for weight-for-age, height-for-age, BMI-for-age, or in the probability of children at risk of overweight and of being overweight. When we examined the possible mechanisms, we found that mother’s high school education increases mother’s age at child’s birth, health insurance coverage and child care use. We also find suggestive evidence of a much more complex set of behaviors that are causally related to education (child care use, health insurance status, fertility decisions) and that likely affect child health. This preliminary evidence suggests that much more work needs to be done before one can strongly conclude that child health does or does not systematically vary with differences in maternal education on the margin we study.

LIU, HAIYONG
MROZ, THOMAS
VAN DER KLAAUW, WILBERT
Maternal Employment, Migration, and Child Development
Presented: Chicago IL, American Economic Association Annual Meetings, January 2007. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0107_1015_0504.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 5583
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

We analyze the roles and interrelationships between school inputs and parental inputs in affecting child development through the specification and estimation of a behavioral model of household migration and maternal employment decisions. We integrate information on these decisions with observations on child outcomes over a 13-year period from the NLSY. We find that the impact of our school quality measures diminish by a factor of 2 to 4 after accounting for the fact that families may choose where to live in part based on school characteristics and labor market opportunities. The positive statistical relationship between child outcomes and maternal employment reverses sign while remaining statistically significant after controlling for its possible endogeneity. Our estimates imply that when parental responses are taken into account, policy changes in school quality end up having only minor impacts on child test scores.

LUNDBERG, SHELLY
Division of Labor in Exigency: Work Hours of New Parents in the NLSY79
Presented: Philadelphia, PA, American Economic Association Meeting, January 2005. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2005/0108_1430_0601.pdf
Cohort(s): NLSY79
ID Number: 4897
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Excerpt from Introduction: In this paper, I examine the determinants of the work hours of married female respondents in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979 (NLSY79) and their husbands during the 3 years following a first birth. There are a number of reasons to think that labor supply decisions during this short period could have long-term consequences for the economic independence of the mothers.

LUNDBERG, SHELLY
ROMICH, JENNIFER L.
Maternal Labor Supply and Child Decision Power: Evidence on the Adultification Hypothesis
Presented: Philadelphia, PA, American Economic Association Meeting, January 2005. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2005/0108_1015_0201.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 4896
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

In this paper we apply a bargaining model to predict how maternal employment may be related to children's power in making decisions about household resources and rules. The paper proceeds as follows. Section II. outlines a model of bargaining between parents and children. Next we overview the implications of this model for empirical investigations. Section IV contains a description of our sample drawn, from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth Child data (NLSY-C), and the decision-making indexes used as our key dependent variables. Results are presented on family structure, mothers' work and children's autonomous and shared participation in decision-making. We find little evidence to support the adultification hypothesis.

MILLER, AMALIA REBECCA
Motherhood Delay and the Human Capital of the Next Generation
Presented: San Francisco CA, Annual Meetings of the American Economic Association, January 3-5, 2009
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 6354
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

This paper exploits biological fertility shocks as instrumental variables to estimate the effect of motherhood delay on the cognitive ability of the next generation. Using detailed panel data on women in the NLSY79 and their first-born children aged 5 to 14, we find a year of delay leads to significant increases in math and reading scores: a 7 year delay produces gains on par with the black-white score difference. These results reveal a potential weakness of pro-natalist policies promoting early motherhood. While such policies may increase total period fertility rates, they will be less effective at increasing total human capital.

MURRAY, CHARLES A.
IQ and Income Inequality in a Sample of Sibling Pairs from Advantaged Family Backgrounds
Presented: Atlanta, GA, American Economic Association Annual Meeting, January 2002
Cohort(s): NLSY79
ID Number: 3968
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

"The Bell Curve" (Richard Herrnstein and Murray, 1994) presented data on the independent effect of IQ on a wide variety of social and economic outcomes for members of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY). To control for socioeconomic background, we constructed an index using the standard three indicators: parental education, occupation, and income. Among the many threads in the response to "The Bell Curve," the following question arose: How much would the independent effect of IQ have been attenuated if a broader set of family background variables had been used as controls? To test this, Sanders Korenman and Christopher Winship conducted a fixed-effects analysis of the large number of siblings within the NLSY, in effect controlling not just for socioeconomic status, but for everything in the shared environment of the family. The results were that "[w]ith a few exceptions, the fixed-effects estimates for AFQT [the cognitive test used in the NLSY] are remarkably similar to the standard OLS and logit estimates" (Korenman and Winship, 2000 p.146). The independent effect of IQ is robust across methods.

O'NEILL, JUNE E.
Catching Up: The Gender Gap in Wages, Circa 2000
Presented: Washington DC, Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 2003
Cohort(s): NLSY79
ID Number: 4452
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

The transition of women in to the U.S. labor market was surely one of the most profound economic and social changes of the 20th century. In 1900 about 20 percent of women were in the labor force. This percentage rose to about 34 in 1950 and reached 61 percent in 2000; not far below the 75-percent participation rate of men. A key element in this change was the dramatic rise in market work among married women with children under the age of 18, whose labor-force participation increased from a rate of 18 percent in 1950 to 71 percent in 2000. However, for much of the last 50 years the rise in women's labor-force activity and its growing convergence with that of men, did not appear to be matched by a narrowing of the gender gap in pay...Through the years the gender gap in wages frequently has been a source of public concern and a puzzle to researchers. In this paper, I examine evidence from the Current Population Survey and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) on recent trends and current sources of the gender gap.

SEN, BISAKHA
SWAMINATHAN, SHAILENDER
Maternal Prenatal Substance Use and Behavioral Problems among Children in the U.S.
Presented: Philadelphia, PA, American Economic Association Meeting, January 2005. Also: http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2005/0109_1300_0502.pdf
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79
ID Number: 4898
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

In this project, we aim to investigate whether there is a causal effect of prenatal exposure to smoking and alcohol consumption on children's behavior. We plan to use data from the Children of the National Longitudinal Survey, a large, national dataset which provides longitudinal information on behavior problems of children at different ages, the mother's health behavior including substance use during pregnancy, and extensive information on other familial socio-economic characteristics. We aim to do the analyses separately for prenatal cigarette use and alcohol use, and to also investigate whether the effects on children's behavior change as the children grow older. ...In our preliminary analyses, we use data between 1986-1998. We confine our sample to children born in 1981 or later,3 for whom BPI percentile scores are available for at least one interview year. For each child, we only use the first year of data for which the BPI percentile scores are available.

STRAUSS, JOHN
THOMAS, DUNCAN
Measurement and Mismeasurement of Social Indicators
Rand Reprints, Rand/RP-534. Reprinted by permission from the American Economic Review 86,2 (May 1996): 30-34. Copyright 1996 American Economic Association
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 2775
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

Over the last few decades, there has been a spectacular increase in the availability of data on a broad array of social indicators including life expectancy, health, and education, and these data are routinely tabulated for many countries. In part, this reflects a recognition that the well-being of a population is not fully captured by measures of consumption or income. Measurement of social indicators is not without its pitfalls, however, and drawing conclusions based on comparisons of national aggregates is fraught with difficulties, especially when data sources are sketchy. This general point has been made forcefully in a recent issue of the Journal of Development Economics (see T. N. Srinivasan. 1944). The papers in that issue make a compelling argument for investing in improving the quality--and frequency--of data-collection efforts. However, even when "good" survey data do exist. serious and often quite subtle issues of comparability and measurement still abound.

VAN DER KLAAUW, WILBERT
BLAU, DAVID M.
Family Structure Dynamics and Child Outcomes
Presented: Chicago IL, AEA Annual Meetings, January 2007. Also: http://paa2007.princeton.edu/abstractViewer.aspx?submissionId=70396
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
ID Number: 5585
Publisher: American Economic Association

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

We analyze the determinants of family structure change. We consider the major proposed explanations for the dramatic changes in family structure in the U.S.: changes in (1) public assistance policy, child support enforcement, divorce laws, and tax laws; (2) labor market opportunities facing men and women; and (3) marriage market conditions. We model the behavior of women who make union and childbearing decisions, but we derive from the model the consequences of these decisions for the family structure experienced by children. We use panel data from the NLSY79 to analyze the fertility, union formation, union dissolution, type of union (cohabiting versus married), and father identity (biological versus step) choices of women born from 1957 to1964. We use the estimated model to evaluate the impacts of changes in policies and labor and marriage market conditions on the family structure experiences of children growing up during the early 1970s through 2004.


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